AJ Dillon already out-carried him 21-15 inside the 10 last season and 10-6 inside the five.

How much of a factor he remains at the goal line is another story.

… The Packers' projected backfield usage is something of a black box, but I find it impossible to predict fewer than 60 receptions for Aaron Jones. Carrying Jacoby Brissett's mail is going to be a tall order. I started the week with Nick Chubb too low, in the RB15-16 range. Click here to get started with the NBC Sports Predictor app. Predict what will happen on Sunday Night Football and watch along to see if you’ll be the next big winner. It’s NFL season and that means you’ve got a chance at $100,000 with Sunday Night 7. If he stays healthy, few boast his pass-catching and touchdown-scoring upside. … Saquon Barkley remains the poor man's CMC. the Bengals, Harris' Week 1 setup is poor. With Mitch Trubisky wasting time under center for the time being, goal-line carries could be frustratingly sporadic. … Speaking of baselines, Najee Harris is a threat to once again lead the league in touches. We wish Mixon played every third down, but he does play enough third downs. Be that as it may, Mixon's baseline is too high to rank outside the top 10, including in the receptions department. … I fear touchdown regression for Joe Mixon, while the Bengals' continued lack of a third-down commitment is notable. … “ D'Andre Swift is an Austin Ekeler season waiting to happen,” I tell myself for the millionth time. The Falcons are a delectable first matchup. With reinforcements in hand for 2022, Kamara can hopefully return to his 15-touch happy place, one that features goal-line carries and 5-6 weekly receptions. 1 overall if he stays healthy.Īlvin Kamara was woefully miscast as a 25-touch player for last year's weapons-bereft Saints offense. That, combined with a workload that should remain voluminous, makes Cook a legitimate candidate to finish No. We know Kevin O'Connell will be more EPA-focused than Mike Zimmer. … Dalvin Cook's 2022 is all about being deployed more sensibly. Neither back should eat into Ekeler's money-making touches on third down and in the red zone. … The Chargers wanted to lighten Austin Ekeler's load but it remains highly unclear if either rookie Isaiah Spiller or journeyman Sony Michel will be up to the challenge. The run has only grown more important in Tennessee. … You have already read this fact, but Derrick Henry was ninth in rushing last season … in eight games. Taylor's only real 2022 threat is if Nyheim Hines' supposedly larger role materializes. … Jonathan Taylor did some of his best 2021 work against a Texans defensive line that is not appreciably better this season. He is healthy right now and no other back possesses CMC's arsenal of not just high-value touches, but high-volume touches in extreme quantity. RB Notes: Everyone is tired of hearing it, but Christian McCaffrey will win leagues if he stays on the field.

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